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Week 14 College Football: Who's In and Who's Out of the Playoff?

USASunday, November 30, 2025
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Top Teams Stay on Track, But Upsets Shake Things Up

  • Texas A&M's Loss to Texas: The undefeated Aggies fell to their rivals, but the impact on the playoff picture remains uncertain.
  • Playoff Contenders Secure Wins: Ohio State, Indiana, Georgia, Texas Tech, Oregon, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Notre Dame, and Alabama all won, solidifying their top 10 positions.

Big Ten Championship: Ohio State vs. Indiana

  • Big Implications: The winner likely gets the No. 1 seed and a Rose Bowl berth, while the loser could still secure a top-four seed and a bye.
  • Questioning Championship Games: With the stakes so high, is there still a need for these championship games?

SEC Showdown: Alabama vs. Georgia

  • Alabama's Hard-Fought Win: The Crimson Tide defeated Auburn, setting up a rematch with Georgia in the SEC championship.
  • If Georgia Wins: Likely No. 2 seed and Sugar Bowl berth.
  • If Alabama Wins: Could secure a top-four seed and a bye.
  • Alabama's Shaky Ground: A loss might put them on the bubble, but they still have a good chance.

Big 12 Championship: Texas Tech vs. BYU

  • Texas Tech Favored: A win secures their playoff spot.
  • BYU's Upset Potential: If they win, they could steal a playoff berth, much to the dismay of Oregon, Ole Miss, and Oklahoma.

The Miami vs. Notre Dame Debate

  • Notre Dame's Strong Win: Beat Stanford 49-20.
  • Miami's Dominant Performance: Defeated Pitt 38-7.
  • Committee's Dilemma: Should Miami's head-to-head victory over Notre Dame be the deciding factor?
  • Mock's Projections:
  • Notre Dame: 95% chance to make the Playoff.
  • Miami: Just a 1% chance.

ACC Chaos: Cal Upsets SMU, Setting Up Rematch

  • Virginia vs. Duke Rematch: Duke's win could open the door for James Madison to sneak into the Playoff as the fifth-highest-ranked conference champion.
  • Mock's Projections:
  • James Madison: 39% chance of making the Playoff.

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