2025 is set to start with a bang as key state and local races kick off across the U. S. These contests aren’t as flashy as the presidential elections, but they’re crucial for understanding the political landscape. In Virginia, special legislative elections in January will decide the control of the state legislature. Voters will choose new lawmakers to fill seats left open by those who moved on to higher offices. This matters because Virginia often goes against the previous national cycle, making these early elections a good indicator of where the winds are blowing. If Republicans win in Virginia, it could give their governor, Glenn Youngkin, a boost as he eyes a potential higher office bid.

Meanwhile, Wisconsin is gearing up for a hotly contested Supreme Court race. This follows a dramatic shift in 2023 when liberals took control for the first time in 15 years. This April, the balance is once again up for grabs, with issues like abortion rights and redistricting likely to heat up the race. The court, while technically nonpartisan, has become a major battleground. Democrats are trying to tie the conservative candidate, Brad Schimel, to the broader Trump-centered GOP brand to energize progressives in the off-year election.

Also on the agenda are several safe Republican seats in the U. S. House that need to be filled. These include seats left open by Trump’s cabinet picks, including Rep. Mike Waltz and Rep. Elise Stafanik. These special elections might not change the balance of power but can give a sense of how voters feel about the early days of Trump’s second term.

The 2025 Races to Watch: What Early Elections Tell Us

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