Sunny Day Ahead for the Kentucky Derby

Race Time: ~6:57 p.m. ET
Location: Louisville, Kentucky

Weather History & Trends

• Historic Temperature Ranges
• Coldest mornings: 36 °F (1940, 1957)
• Hottest race day: 94 °F (1959)

• Lowest highs ever recorded: 47 °F (1935, 1957)

• Rain & Track Conditions
• Nearly half of the first 150 Derbies had rainfall (72 days).
• 2018 set a record with 3.15 inches of rain, turning the track muddy.
• Despite weather challenges, champions like Justify have triumphed.

Forecast for 2026 Derby Day

• Overall Outlook: Cooler, mostly sunny spring day.
• Temperature Highlights
• Peak daytime: ~60 °F
• Nighttime lows: ~39 °F

• Around race time: mid‑50s °F – a light jacket recommended.

• Precipitation: Minimal; expected to be relatively dry compared to many past events.
• Track Condition Prediction: Dry and firm, ideal for racing.

What to Expect

• A pleasant, clear day with no heat, mud, or storms.
• Perfect setting to enjoy the race, hats, and tradition of the Run for the Roses.