Rain or Shine? What the Weather Means for India‑Pakistan T20 Clash

India is set to take on Pakistan in a match that could decide who reaches the Super 8s of the ICC T20 World Cup 2026. The Indians come in after two convincing wins over the USA and Namibia, while Pakistan remains unbeaten with victories against the Netherlands and the USA. Historically, India has dominated this rivalry in T20 World Cups, leading 7‑1 in head‑to‑head encounters.

A low‑pressure system over the southeastern Bay of Bengal has triggered a weather warning across Sri Lanka. Heavy clouds and high humidity have already disrupted earlier matches, leaving ground staff on alert for possible rain interruptions. If the game is washed out, both teams would earn a point each—enough to secure Super 8 spots—but the match’s outcome would be left to chance.

The Sri Lanka Meteorological Department predicts a 70‑80 % chance of rain during the day, with thunderstorms likely to peak before the scheduled 7:00 PM start. Although the risk drops to about 9 % once play begins, the absence of a reserve day means the match could be shortened or abandoned. Fans will hope that Colombo’s drainage system can handle a brief shower rather than a full washout.

Hourly forecasts for February 15, 2026 show that temperatures will hover around 27–31 °C with relative humidity between 75 % and 77 %. Dew may form on the outfield, making it harder for bowlers to grip the ball in the second innings. Air quality will be poor due to stagnant tropical air, adding another layer of challenge for the players.

The toss could also be affected; a 49 % chance of rain at 6:00 PM may delay the start. If play proceeds, the weather is expected to be overcast but with only a 9 % chance of rain during the main match window. The outcome will hinge on whether the pitch remains playable and whether both teams can adapt to the damp conditions.