Putin's War: A Standoff with No Clear End in Sight

Evolving Peace Proposals

• Initial Plan: 28-point proposal
• Revised Plan: 19-point proposal
• Current Status: Ukraine approves new deal, but Russia objects
• US Involvement: Envoy to discuss with Putin

Key Stakeholders' Perspectives

Russia (Putin)

• Demands: Ukraine must cede territory
• Long-Term Vision: War is critical for Russia's future
• Strategy: Patience; thinks in centuries, not deadlines
• Current Actions: Gradual land acquisition in Ukraine
• Costs: High soldier and financial losses
• Timeline: May take until 2027 to control Donbas
• Mindset: Believes Russia is winning; will continue fighting

Ukraine

• Skepticism: Doubts Putin will stop even with concessions
• Goals: Maintain sovereignty and resist Russian influence
• Current Trend: Growing strength and anti-Russia sentiment

United States

• Objective: End war soon
• Challenge: Putin indifferent to deadlines
• Approach: Diplomatic engagement with Russia

Future Outlook

• Putin's Health & Power: Healthy; may remain in power until 2036
• Prolonged Conflict: Possible long-term fighting
• Uncertainty: No clear path to resolution
• Global Stakeholders: US and Ukraine in a wait-and-see mode