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Japan's Bond Market: A Shift in Strategy

JapanFriday, November 28, 2025
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Japan's top bond dealers are advocating for a change in the government's bond sales strategy.

  • More Short-Term Notes:
  • Two-year bonds
  • Five-year bonds
  • Ten-year bonds

  • Fewer Super-Long Bonds:
  • Reduced issuance of long-term bonds

Market Pressures and Economic Plan

Japan's longer-term bonds have been under significant pressure. This shift comes as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's economic plan, the largest stimulus since the pandemic, is set to increase bond issuance.

Impact on Bond Yields

  • 20-Year Bonds: Multi-decade highs
  • 30-Year Bonds: Multi-decade highs
  • 40-Year Bonds: Multi-decade highs

Market Response and Stability

The dealers' request is a response to current market conditions, aiming to:

  • Manage Risk
  • Maintain Market Stability

Government's Decision and Economic Implications

  • Will the government listen?
  • What does this mean for Japan's economy?

Complexity of Bond Yields and Issuance

Bond yields and issuance are influenced by:

  • Economic Policy
  • Market Sentiment

The dealers' request is just one piece of the puzzle.

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