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Jamaica and Haiti Face Severe Hurricane Threat

Jamaica, KingstonSunday, October 26, 2025
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Hurricane Melissa is rapidly intensifying and is expected to strike Jamaica and Haiti with severe force. This storm has the potential to reach Category 5 status, the most severe level on the hurricane scale. Its slow movement suggests prolonged rainfall and sustained strong winds.

Current Status and Path

  • Location: Approximately 130 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica
  • Movement: Very slow, exacerbating the situation
  • Intensification: The National Hurricane Center reports rapid strengthening

Rain and thunderstorms are already impacting Jamaica, Haiti, and Cuba.

Expected Impacts

Rainfall

  • Up to 40 inches of rain in some areas by Wednesday
  • Severe flooding and landslides expected, particularly in hilly and mountainous regions
  • Potential damage to buildings, power outages, and isolated communities

Storm Surge

  • 9 to 13 feet high
  • Likely to flood parts of Kingston, including the airport
  • Additional flooding in the Dominican Republic and eastern Cuba

Projected Path

  • Monday: Slow westward movement
  • Tuesday: Likely impact on Jamaica
  • Tuesday or Wednesday: Movement to eastern Cuba
  • Wednesday: Passage through the southeast Bahamas or Turks and Caicos
  • Later in the week: Potential impact on Bermuda (too early to determine)

Historical Significance

  • Expected to reach Category 5 strength
  • Could remain at least Category 4 upon hitting Jamaica
  • No Category 4 or 5 hurricane has directly hit Jamaica before

Warnings and Alerts

  • Warnings issued for parts of southern Haiti, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba
  • Hurricane-force winds and tropical storm conditions expected soon
  • Potential for extensive damage and community isolation

Season Context

  • Formed late Tuesday morning as the 13th storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
  • Became the fifth hurricane of the season by Saturday afternoon
  • Average for this time of year
  • First storm of the season to enter the Caribbean Sea

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