When it comes to climate change, most people are on the same page. They acknowledge that humans are causing it. However, there is a widespread misconception about how many others share this belief. This is known as pluralistic ignorance. It happens when people underestimate the number of others who agree with them. This issue was explored in two separate studies. The first study involved over 3, 600 adults from 11 different countries. The second study used data from over 82, 000 adults across 55 countries. The goal was to see how common this misjudgment is and how it affects people's actions regarding climate change.

In the first study, people from various countries were asked about their beliefs on climate change. The results showed a significant gap between what people thought others believed and the actual consensus. For instance, in Indonesia, people underestimated the number of pro-climate individuals by at least 7. 5%. In Brazil, this gap was even wider, with an underestimation of up to 20. 8%. This means that many people think fewer others care about climate change than actually do.

The study also tested whether informing people about the true consensus on climate change would make a difference. Unfortunately, providing this information did not lead to a significant increase in climate action. However, it did slightly boost people's willingness to express their pro-climate opinions. This suggests that while knowing the truth might not change behavior, it can encourage people to speak up more.

The second study looked at how cultural differences might affect pluralistic ignorance. It found that in cultures that are more relaxed or "loose, " people were slightly more likely to underestimate the number of others who were willing to contribute financially to fight climate change. This highlights the need for more research in these types of cultures.

So, why does this matter? Understanding how we misjudge others' beliefs can help in creating better strategies to address climate change. If people realize that more others share their concerns, they might be more motivated to take action. This is especially important in cultures where people are less likely to speak up about their beliefs. By addressing this misconception, we can foster a more united front against climate change.

How We Misjudge Others' Climate Change Beliefs

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