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China's Economy: Steady Rates Amid Challenges

ChinaMonday, December 22, 2025
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China's central bank maintains interest rates for the seventh consecutive month, despite economic headwinds.

  • Key Rates Unchanged:
  • 1-year loan rate: 3%
  • 5-year loan rate: 3.5%

Economic Indicators Lag Expectations

  • Retail Sales:
  • Actual: 1.3% growth
  • Expected: 2.8% growth

  • Industrial Production:
  • Actual: 4.8% growth
  • Expected: 5% growth

Real Estate Sector Struggles

  • Investment in Property and Fixed Assets:
  • Decrease of 2.6% over the first 11 months of the year
  • Expected decrease: 2.3%
  • Home Prices:
  • Continued decline in major cities like Beijing and Shenzhen

Government Measures to Stimulate the Economy

  • Special Bonds:
  • To be issued next year to fund infrastructure projects

  • Spending Boost:
  • Aims to combat deflationary pressures

Potential Trade Deal with the U.S.

  • Possible Benefits:
  • Lower tariffs on Chinese exports
  • Potential economic growth of 5% in 2025

Market Performance

  • Stock Market:
  • Up by 0.43% on Monday

  • Currency Exchange Rates:
  • Yuan (Onshore): 7.04 against the dollar
  • Yuan (Offshore): 7.03 against the dollar

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