Betting on College Football: The Hidden Value in Underdogs

Saturday, November 16th, brings a packed schedule of college football games, with about 100 games to choose from. Let's dive into where the smart money is heading using the VSiN CFB Betting Splits, updated every 10 minutes from DraftKings. Texas, ranked third, has been on a winning streak, crushing Florida 49-17. Arkansas, on the other hand, just lost big to Ole Miss 63-31. The line opened with Texas as a 15-point favorite, but it's since dropped to -13. 5. Why? Because the pros are betting on Arkansas, which is getting only 17% of spread bets. Despite Texas's recent win, Arkansas could be a good value pick. They're coming off a bye week while Texas just played, giving the Razorbacks a "rest vs tired" edge. Plus, Arkansas can score, which can help them cover. The over/under has also been on the rise, now at 58, with both teams playing at a fast pace.

The Volunteers of Tennessee have been on a four-game winning streak, but the public is backing Georgia, which just lost to Ole Miss. The line opened at 8. 5 but has moved to -10. 5 and back to -8. 5 due to Tennessee's quarterback injury status. This shows that the pros might be "fading the trendy dog" and backing Georgia. Georgia has a good history of covering when they're the home favorite against a ranked team. The under has also been popular, with the total dropping from 50 to 47. Kansas has been surprising, winning two of their last three games. They're facing BYU, which just barely won against Utah. The line opened at BYU -3. 5 but has fallen to -2. 5, indicating that the pros are backing Kansas. Kansas could be a good "bet against the public" pick, as they're getting only 32% of spread bets. Plus, short road dogs have a good record. The over/under has also risen, now at 57. 5, with both teams scoring well.

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