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Aluminum's Big Comeback: Why Alcoa's Stock is Soaring
Tuesday, January 13, 2026
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The Big Jump
Alcoa's stock has doubled in just six months. This isn't just a random spike—it's part of a larger story about global changes and how companies like Alcoa are adapting.
Why Aluminum Matters
Aluminum is everywhere:
- Cars
- Planes
- Green energy tech
Demand is skyrocketing, especially in:
- Electric vehicles
- Data centers
Prices have shot up to over $3,000 per metric ton.
Supply and Smart Moves
- China and Europe have cut back on production, making aluminum more valuable.
- Alcoa's strategic moves:
- Bought Alumina Limited for a stronger market position.
- Sold their stake in the Ma'aden joint venture, bringing in cash.
- Using profits to:
- Pay off debt
- Upgrade operations
- Return value to shareholders
Risks Ahead
- Indonesia plans to increase aluminum production, which could flood the market.
- Prices could drop if:
- Demand slows down
- Energy costs rise
- Stock may be overvalued right now.
Looking Ahead
Alcoa's future depends on:
- Sustained demand
- Limited supply
The next big test:
- Q4 2025 earnings report
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